# Best AI this month: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Best AI this month". Gemini leads at 65.7%. Next is Claude at 26.7%. $109K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:02:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $109K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: ai_tech

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Gemini | 65.7% | 69% |
| Claude | 26.7% | 28% |
| ChatGPT | 3.8% | 4% |
| Grok | 1% | 1% |
| Kimi | 1% | 1% |
| Muse | 0.9% | 1% |
| Qwen | 0.9% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)](https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/best-ai-this-month
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxllm1?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/best-ai-this-month

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.