# Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando: Method of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Billy Elekana vs Lucas Fernando: Method of Victory". Lucas Fernando by KO/TKO/DQ leads at 35%. Next is Lucas Fernando by Decision at 27.7%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-07T21:13:03Z (9 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Lucas Fernando by KO/TKO/DQ | 35% | 38% |
| Lucas Fernando by Decision | 27.7% | 30% |
| Billy Elekana by Decision | 10.1% | 11% |
| Lucas Fernando by Submission | 10.1% | 11% |
| Billy Elekana by Submission | 8.3% | 9% |
| Billy Elekana by KO/TKO/DQ | 7.4% | 8% |
| Draw/No Contest | 1.4% | 1.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/billy-elekana-vs-lucas-fernando-method-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/billy-elekana-vs-lucas-fernando-method-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.