# Bitcoin at 3:30pm ET · Fed decision: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Bitcoin at 3:30pm ET · Fed decision". Above $70000 leads at 54%. Next is Above $70500 at 54%. $2K has traded across 17 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:17:41Z (17 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: crypto

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above $70000 | 54% | 54% |
| Above $70500 | 54% | 54% |
| Above $72500 | 54% | 54% |
| Above $73000 | 54% | 54% |
| Above $72000 | 53.5% | 53.5% |
| Above $74000 | 53% | 53% |
| Above $74500 | 53% | 53% |
| Above $75000 | 53% | 53% |
| Above $75500 | 52% | 52% |
| Above $71000 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Above $71500 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Above $73500 | 50% | 50% |
| Above $76000 | 49.5% | 49.5% |
| Above $78000 | 46% | 46% |
| Above $77000 | 9% | 9% |
| Above $76500 | 8% | 8% |
| Above $77500 | 6% | 6% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [CF Benchmarks](https://www.cfbenchmarks.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bitcoin-at-330pm-et-fed-decision
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbtcevent?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bitcoin-at-330pm-et-fed-decision

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.