# Black vs Penickova: prediction market odds

> Final prediction market prices for "Black vs Penickova". Black last traded at 99.6%. Next is Set Handicap: Annika Penickova (-1.5) vs Brooke Black (+1.5) at 0.4%. $1.0M has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market closed on Nov 18, 2026.

- Status: Trading has ended; prices are final
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T23:50:00Z (just now)
- Closed: Nov 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $1.0M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Black | 99.6% | 100% | — | not on both |
| Set Handicap: Annika Penickova (-1.5) vs Brooke Black (+1.5) | 0.4% | 0.4% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [itftennis.com](https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [ITF](https://www.itftennis.com/en/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com).

## Settlement rules

Kalshi event status: closed

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/black-vs-penickova
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/itf-black1-penick1-2026-11-04?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxitfwmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/black-vs-penickova

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
