# BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante". BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante leads at 63%. Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante at 58.5%. $8K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 20, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T02:48:40Z (12 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 20, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 63% | 63% | — | not on both |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 58.5% | 58.5% | — | not on both |
| Tabilo | 57.1% | 57.5% | 57% | 0.5 pts |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 55% | 55% | — | not on both |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Thiago Agustin Tirante | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alejandro Tabilo and Thiago Agustin Tirante in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 8:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alejandro Tabilo' if Alejandro Tabilo advances against Thiago Agustin Tirante.

This market will resolve to 'Thiago Agustin Tirante' if Thiago Agustin Tirante advances against Alejandro Tabilo.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bnp-paribas-nordic-open-alejandro-tabilo-vs-thiago-agustin-tirante
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-tabilo-tirante-2026-11-13?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bnp-paribas-nordic-open-alejandro-tabilo-vs-thiago-agustin-tirante

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.