# BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo". BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo leads at 77.5%. Next is BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo at 70%. $6K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 17, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-10T07:43:05Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 17, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 77.5% | 77.5% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 70% | 70% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 58% | 58% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 53% | 53% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 39% | 39% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 38% | 38% |
| BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Alex Michelsen vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo | 35.5% | 35.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Alex Michelsen and Juan Manuel Cerundolo in the BNP Paribas Nordic Open, originally scheduled for November 10, 2026 at 7:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Alex Michelsen' if Alex Michelsen advances against Juan Manuel Cerundolo.

This market will resolve to 'Juan Manuel Cerundolo' if Juan Manuel Cerundolo advances against Alex Michelsen.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 24, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bnp-paribas-nordic-open-alex-michelsen-vs-juan-manuel-cerundolo
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-michels-cerund-2026-11-10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bnp-paribas-nordic-open-alex-michelsen-vs-juan-manuel-cerundolo

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.