# Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Brantford-Brant South by-election winner?". Conservative leads at 47.7%. Next is Liberal at 45.8%. $2K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 2, 2028.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:17:00Z (3 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: May 2, 2028
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Conservative | 47.7% | 48% |
| Liberal | 45.8% | 46% |
| NDP | 3.5% | 3.5% |
| Green | 3% | 3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Canada](https://www.elections.ca/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/brantford-brant-south-by-election-winner
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbrantfordby?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/brantford-brant-south-by-election-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.