# Brazil Grand Prix Main Race Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Grand Prix Main Race Winner". Max Verstappen leads at 36.8%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 22.9%. $38K has traded across 24 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:14:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $38K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Max Verstappen | 36.8% | 41.5% | 41% | 0.5 pts |
| Kimi Antonelli | 22.9% | 26.5% | 25% | 1.5 pts |
| Lewis Hamilton | 9.7% | 10.5% | 11% | 0.5 pts |
| Charles Leclerc | 9% | 10% | 10% | 0.0 pts |
| Lando Norris | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7% | 0.5 pts |
| George Russell | 5.8% | 5% | 7% | 2.0 pts |
| Oscar Piastri | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2% | 1.1 pts |
| Isack Hadjar | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1% | 0.1 pts |
| Alexander Albon | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Arvid Lindblad | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Fernando Alonso | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Franco Colapinto | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Lance Stroll | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Esteban Ocon | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 0.5% | 0.5% | — | not on both |
| Liam Lawson | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Oliver Bearman | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Pierre Gasly | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Sergio Perez | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0 pts |
| Ryo Hirakawa | 0.4% | — | 0.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [formula1.com](https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [FIA](https://www.fia.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/brazil-grand-prix-main-race-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-brazilian-grand-prix-winner-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxf1race?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/brazil-grand-prix-main-race-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.