# Brazil Série A: 3rd Place Finish 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Brazil Série A: 3rd Place Finish 2026". Fluminense leads at 48%. Next is Cruzeiro at 46%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:24:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Fluminense | 48% | 48% |
| Cruzeiro | 46% | 46% |
| Athletico Paranaense | 45% | 45% |
| Atlético Mineiro | 45% | 45% |
| Bahia | 44.5% | 44.5% |
| Santos | 40% | 40% |
| Palmeiras | 36.5% | 36.5% |
| Red Bull Bragantino | 33.5% | 33.5% |
| São Paulo | 32% | 32% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team finishes 3rd in the final standings of the 2026 Brazil Série A season. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve to the team officially recognized by Brazil Série A as finishing in third place. If multiple teams are officially awarded third place, the market will resolve to the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to finish 3rd in the 2026 Brazil Série A season, the market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 Brazil Série A season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no 3rd place team declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from Brazil Série A. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/brazil-série-a-3rd-place-finish-2026
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/brazil-serie-a-3rd-place-finish-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/brazil-série-a-3rd-place-finish-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.