# Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Brazilian Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish". Max Verstappen leads at 68%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 66%. $1K has traded across 23 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 15, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T18:33:03Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 15, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Max Verstappen | 68% | 68% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 66% | 66% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 47% | 47% |
| Lando Norris | 46.5% | 46.5% |
| Charles Leclerc | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| Isack Hadjar | 15% | 15% |
| George Russell | 14% | 14% |
| Oscar Piastri | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Esteban Ocon | 5% | 5% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 5% | 5% |
| Liam Lawson | 3% | 3% |
| Pierre Gasly | 2.8% | 2.8% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 2.7% | 2.7% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Franco Colapinto | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Fernando Alonso | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Bearman | 2.6% | 2.6% |
| Alexander Albon | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Lance Stroll | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Sergio Perez | 2.3% | 2.3% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 2.3% | 2.3% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [formula1.com](https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races).

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 Brazilian Grand Prix, scheduled for Nov 8, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market.

If the Brazilian Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the Brazilian Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/brazilian-grand-prix-driver-podium-finish
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-brazilian-grand-prix-driver-podium-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/brazilian-grand-prix-driver-podium-finish

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.