# Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren". Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren leads at 55.5%. Next is Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren at 52.5%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 21, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T20:48:31Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 21, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 52.5% | 52.5% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 50% | 50% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 49% | 49% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 48% | 48% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 48% | 48% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 41.5% | 41.5% |
| Brisbane 3: Sebastian Gorzny vs August Holmgren | 30.5% | 30.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Sebastian Gorzny and August Holmgren in the Brisbane 3, originally scheduled for November 13, 2026 at 10:00PM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Sebastian Gorzny' if Sebastian Gorzny advances against August Holmgren.

This market will resolve to 'August Holmgren' if August Holmgren advances against Sebastian Gorzny.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/brisbane-3-sebastian-gorzny-vs-august-holmgren
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-gorzny-holmgre-2026-11-13?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/brisbane-3-sebastian-gorzny-vs-august-holmgren

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.