# Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers: Nov 21: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Bullet Brawl Top 8 Finishers: Nov 21". Hikaru Nakamura leads at 87%. Next is Oleksandr Bortnyk at 71%. $1K has traded across 140 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 28, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T21:21:41Z (34 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 28, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Hikaru Nakamura | 87% | 87% |
| Oleksandr Bortnyk | 71% | 71% |
| Faustino Oro | 45% | 45% |
| Tuan Minh Le | 45% | 45% |
| Renato Terry | 41% | 41% |
| Ediz Gurel | 37% | 37% |
| Reza Mahdavi | 23.5% | 23.5% |
| Jeffery Xiong | 21.5% | 21.5% |
| Parham Maghsoodloo | 20.5% | 20.5% |
| Jose Martinez | 16.5% | 16.5% |
| Alireza Firouzja | 16% | 16% |
| Matthias Bluebaum | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Nihal Sarin | 13.5% | 13.5% |
| Andrew Tang | 13% | 13% |
| Andy Woodward | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Christopher Woojin Yoo | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Haowen Xue | 12.5% | 12.5% |
| Arjun Erigaisi | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Sergei Zhigalko | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Volodar Murzin | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Yoseph Theolifus Taher | 10.5% | 10.5% |
| Sina Movahed | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| V Pranav | 9.5% | 9.5% |
| Sam Sevian | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Sergey Sklokin-Bagiyan | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Yagiz Kaan Erdogmus | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| David Paravyan | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Pranesh M | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Sanan Sjugirov | 7.5% | 7.5% |
| Dmitry Andreikin | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Emin Ohanyan | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Ilan Schnaider | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Magnus Carlsen | 6.5% | 6.5% |
| Amin Tabatabaei | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Havard Haug | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Zurab Javakhadze | 5% | 5% |
| Aram Hakobyan | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Aravindh Chithambaram | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Bryan Enming Lin | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Nguyen Ngoc Truong Son | 4.5% | 4.5% |

Showing the top 40 of 140 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Liquipedia](https://liquipedia.net/chess/Bullet_Brawl), [Chess.com](https://www.chess.com/events/2026-bullet-brawl-prizes-and-results/results).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bullet-brawl-top-8-finishers-nov-21
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbulletbrawltop?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bullet-brawl-top-8-finishers-nov-21

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.