# Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Bundesliga Top 4 Finishers". Bayern Munich leads at 98%. Next is Barcelona at 97.5%. $244K has traded across 72 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jun 6, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T19:17:03Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jun 6, 2027
- Volume traded: $244K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Bayern Munich | 98% | 98% | 98% | 0.0 pts |
| Barcelona | 97.5% | 97.5% | — | not on both |
| Real Madrid | 80% | 80% | — | not on both |
| Dortmund | 79% | — | 79% | not on both |
| Borussia Dortmund | 73.5% | 73.5% | — | not on both |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 65.5% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| Leverkusen | 61% | — | 61% | not on both |
| RB Leipzig | 59.5% | 59.5% | — | not on both |
| Leipzig | 54% | — | 54% | not on both |
| Harry Kane | 52.5% | 52.5% | — | not on both |
| TSG Hoffenheim | 51.5% | 51.5% | — | not on both |
| 1. FC Köln | 49.2% | 49.2% | — | not on both |
| Mainz 05 | 45% | 45% | — | not on both |
| SC Freiburg | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Freiburg | 38% | — | 38% | not on both |
| VfB Stuttgart | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |
| SV Elversberg | 31.1% | 31.1% | — | not on both |
| Stuttgart | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| FC Augsburg | 23.9% | 23.9% | — | not on both |
| Werder Bremen | 23.1% | 23.1% | — | not on both |
| Atlético Madrid | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Hamburger SV | 22.2% | 22.2% | — | not on both |
| Hoffenheim | 16% | — | 16% | not on both |
| Patrik Schick | 15.1% | 15.1% | — | not on both |
| Union Berlin | 14.4% | 16.8% | 7% | 9.8 pts |
| Schalke 04 | 10.1% | 10.1% | — | not on both |
| Michael Olise | 9.8% | 9.8% | — | not on both |
| Serhou Guirassy | 9% | 9% | — | not on both |
| Bremen | 8.5% | — | 8.5% | not on both |
| Mainz | 5.5% | — | 5.5% | not on both |
| Frankfurt | 5% | — | 5% | not on both |
| Elversberg | 4.5% | — | 4.5% | not on both |
| Augsburg | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Rayo Vallecano | 3.9% | 3.9% | — | not on both |
| FC Cologne | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Hamburg | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| M´gladbach | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Paderborn | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Schalke | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Valencia | 3.3% | 3.3% | — | not on both |

Showing the top 40 of 72 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Sky Sports](https://www.skysports.com), [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [CBS Sports](https://www.cbssports.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/bundesliga-top-4-finishers-1
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bundesliga-top-4-finishers-2026-27?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxbundesligatop?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/bundesliga-top-4-finishers-1

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.