# CA-01 House election: James Gallagher vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "CA-01 House election: James Gallagher vote percent". At least 40% leads at 52%. Next is At least 42% at 52%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:14:00Z (5 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 40% | 52% | 52% |
| At least 42% | 52% | 52% |
| At least 34% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| At least 36% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| At least 38% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| At least 44% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| At least 46% | 51% | 51% |
| At least 48% | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| At least 50% | 13% | 13% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Sacramento, CA](https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ca-01-house-election-james-gallagher-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ca-01-house-election-james-gallagher-vote-percent

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.