# CA-06 House election: Kevin Kiley vote percent: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "CA-06 House election: Kevin Kiley vote percent". At least 36% leads at 94%. Next is At least 40% at 79%. $2K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T03:06:03Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| At least 36% | 94% | 94% |
| At least 40% | 79% | 79% |
| At least 38% | 77.5% | 77.5% |
| At least 42% | 61% | 61% |
| At least 46% | 43% | 43% |
| At least 48% | 43% | 43% |
| At least 52% | 43% | 43% |
| At least 44% | 16% | 16% |
| At least 50% | 12% | 12% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Elections Division, Office of the Secretary of State, Sacramento, CA](https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ca-06-house-election-kevin-kiley-vote-percent
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxvotegeneral?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ca-06-house-election-kevin-kiley-vote-percent

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.