# Cagliari vs Frosinone: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Cagliari vs Frosinone". Frosinone leads at 38.7%. Next is Cagliari at 35.3%. $8K has traded across 3 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:05:00Z (58 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $8K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Frosinone | 38.7% | 38.5% | 39% | 0.5 pts |
| Cagliari | 35.3% | 35.5% | 35% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 26% | 26% | 26% | 0.0 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [legaseriea.it](https://www.legaseriea.it/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/cagliari-vs-frosinone
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/sea-cag-fro-2026-11-07?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxserieagame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/cagliari-vs-frosinone

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.