# California's 48th District margin of victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "California's 48th District margin of victory". Wilpert, 6+ pts leads at 95.3%. Next is Wilpert, 9+ pts at 94.9%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 3, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:04:00Z (4 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 3, 2027
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Wilpert, 6+ pts | 95.3% | 95.3% |
| Wilpert, 9+ pts | 94.9% | 94.9% |
| Wilpert, 12+ pts | 94.4% | 94.4% |
| Wilpert, 3+ pts | 92.4% | 92.4% |
| Wilpert, 15+ pts | 89% | 89% |
| Wilpert, 18+ pts | 43% | 43% |
| Wilpert, 21+ pts | 12% | 12% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [California Secretary of State](https://www.sos.ca.gov).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/californias-48th-district-margin-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxmidtermmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/californias-48th-district-margin-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.