# Canada unemployment rate in November: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Canada unemployment rate in November". 4.1% leads at 46%. Next is 4.2% at 44.5%. $2K has traded across 19 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 4, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T02:32:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 4, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4.1% | 46% | 46% | — | not on both |
| 4.2% | 44.5% | 44.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 6.3% | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| Above 6.2% | 21% | — | 21% | not on both |
| Above 6.4% | 21% | — | 21% | not on both |
| 4.0% | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 6.5% | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Above 6.6% | 13% | — | 13% | not on both |
| Above 6.8% | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| 4.3% | 10% | 10% | — | not on both |
| Above 6.7% | 8% | — | 8% | not on both |
| Above 6.9% | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |
| Above 7.0% | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| Above 7.1% | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |
| 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | — | not on both |
| 4.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | not on both |
| 3.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | — | not on both |
| 4.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| 4.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [bls.gov](https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/canada/unemployment-rate).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/canada-unemployment-rate-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/november-unemployment-rate-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxue?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/canada-unemployment-rate-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.