# Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe: Exact Match Score: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Carlos Alcaraz vs Frances Tiafoe: Exact Match Score". Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0 leads at 64.4%. Next is Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-1 at 22.8%. $1K has traded across 4 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T11:38:41Z (19 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-0 | 64.4% | 65% |
| Carlos Alcaraz wins 2-1 | 22.8% | 23% |
| Frances Tiafoe wins 2-1 | 7.9% | 8% |
| Frances Tiafoe wins 2-0 | 4.9% | 5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/carlos-alcaraz-vs-frances-tiafoe-exact-match-score
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpexactmatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/carlos-alcaraz-vs-frances-tiafoe-exact-match-score

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.