# Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Carvana retail vehicle unit sales in Q1 2027". Above 220000 leads at 98%. Next is Above 240000 at 96%. $1K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 26, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:46:00Z (37 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Aug 26, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 220000 | 98% | 98% |
| Above 240000 | 96% | 96% |
| Above 245000 | 90% | 90% |
| Above 250000 | 79% | 79% |
| Above 255000 | 63% | 63% |
| Above 260000 | 44% | 44% |
| Above 265000 | 20% | 20% |
| Above 270000 | 17% | 17% |
| Above 275000 | 6% | 6% |
| Above 280000 | 4% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/carvana-retail-vehicle-unit-sales-in-q1-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcvna?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/carvana-retail-vehicle-unit-sales-in-q1-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.