# Cesar Ortiz Castellanos vs Darial Kuchmenov: Method of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Cesar Ortiz Castellanos vs Darial Kuchmenov: Method of Victory". Darial Kuchmenov by Decision leads at 99%. Next is Cesar Ortiz Castellanos by Decision at 49%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 22, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:22:41Z (13 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 22, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Darial Kuchmenov by Decision | 99% | 99% |
| Cesar Ortiz Castellanos by Decision | 49% | 49% |
| Cesar Ortiz Castellanos by KO/TKO/DQ | 49% | 49% |
| Darial Kuchmenov by KO/TKO/DQ | 49% | 49% |
| Draw/No Contest | 49% | 49% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DAZN](https://www.dazn.com/en-US), [Tapology](https://www.tapology.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/cesar-ortiz-castellanos-vs-darial-kuchmenov-method-of-victory
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxboxingmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/cesar-ortiz-castellanos-vs-darial-kuchmenov-method-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.