# Chiefs vs. Bills: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Chiefs vs. Bills". Spread: Bills (-1.5) leads at 66.5%. Next is Spread: Bills (-2.5) at 63.5%. $1K has traded across 295 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 27, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T15:48:40Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 27, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Spread: Bills (-1.5) | 66.5% | 66.5% |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) | 63.5% | 63.5% |
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) | 60.5% | 60.5% |
| Spread: Bills (-4.5) | 57.5% | 57.5% |
| Spread: Bills (-5.5) | 54.5% | 54.5% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Spread: Bills (-6.5) | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-1.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-2.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-3.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-4.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-5.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-6.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-7.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-8.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-9.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-10.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-13.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-14.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-16.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-17.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-20.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Bills (-21.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-1.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-2.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-3.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-4.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-5.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-6.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-7.5) | 50% | 50% |
| 1H Spread: Chiefs (-8.5) | 50% | 50% |

Showing the top 40 of 295 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [nfl.com](https://www.nfl.com/scores).

## Settlement rules

In the upcoming NFL football game between Chiefs and Bills, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 26, 2026 at 8:20 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):
This market will resolve to "Chiefs" if Chiefs win the game.
This market will resolve to "Bills" if Bills win the game.
Overtime is included if played.
If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50.
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/chiefs-vs-bills
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nfl-kc-buf-2026-11-27?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/chiefs-vs-bills

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.