# China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026". Above 1,400 million barrels leads at 78%. Next is Above 1,450 million barrels at 56%. $6K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:21:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $6K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 1,400 million barrels | 78% | 78% |
| Above 1,450 million barrels | 56% | 56% |
| Above 1,500 million barrels | 37% | 37% |
| Above 1,550 million barrels | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Above 1,600 million barrels | 9% | 9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [U.S. Energy Information Administration](https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/energysecurity/article.php).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/china-strategic-oil-inventories-in-q3-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxchinaoilinv?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/china-strategic-oil-inventories-in-q3-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.