# Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Method of Finish: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Method of Finish". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 63%. $2.1M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T05:47:04Z (6 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $2.1M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 63% | 63% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 57% | — | 57% | not on both |
| KO/TKO/DQ | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| Gane to win by KO/TKO? | 41.5% | 41.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 41% | 41% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 40% | 40% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 35% | 35% | — | not on both |
| Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane | 34.5% | 34.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision | 30% | — | 30% | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 29% | 29% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 1 | 18.5% | 18.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit to win by KO/TKO? | 17.5% | 17.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 16.5% | 16.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 2 | 12.5% | 12.5% | — | not on both |
| Submission | 11% | — | 11% | not on both |
| Gane in Round 3 | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 2 | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 3 | 5.2% | 5.2% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 1 | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |
| Draw/No Contest | 3% | — | 3% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ciryl-gane-vs-josh-hokit-method-of-finish
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos52-cir-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmof?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ciryl-gane-vs-josh-hokit-method-of-finish

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.