# Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit: Round of Finish: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs Josh Hokit: Round of Finish". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is Ends before Round 5? at 65.5%. $2.3M has traded across 31 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-14T01:48:55Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $2.3M
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 65.5% | 65.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight ends before round 5 | 64% | — | 64% | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 61.5% | 61.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 56.5% | 56.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 56% | 56% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight ends before round 4 | 54% | — | 54% | not on both |
| Fight ends before round 3 | 44% | — | 44% | not on both |
| Gane to win by KO/TKO? | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 40.5% | 40.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane | 33.5% | 33.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 29.5% | 29.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 4 | 27.5% | 27.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight ends before round 2 | 27% | — | 27% | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 1 | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| Hokit to win by KO/TKO? | 19% | 19% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 18% | 18% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 2 | 15.5% | 15.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 3 | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 2 | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 3 | 5.3% | 5.3% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 1 | 4.5% | 4.5% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [DAZN](https://www.dazn.com/en-US), [Tapology](https://www.tapology.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ciryl-gane-vs-josh-hokit-round-of-finish
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos52-cir-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcrounds?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ciryl-gane-vs-josh-hokit-round-of-finish

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.