# Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Round of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Ciryl Gane vs. Josh Hokit: Round of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 71.5%. Next is O/U 1.5 Rounds at 62%. $930K has traded across 38 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-12T08:45:28Z (8 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $930K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 62% | 62% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 5? | 60% | 60% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 4? | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 54% | 54% | — | not on both |
| Decision / Draw / No Contest | 53.5% | — | 53.5% | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 51% | 51% | — | not on both |
| Gane to win by KO/TKO? | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 43% | 43% | — | not on both |
| O/U 3.5 Rounds | 40% | 40% | — | not on both |
| O/U 4.5 Rounds | 39.5% | 39.5% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 37% | 37% | — | not on both |
| Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane | 36.5% | 36.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 33% | 33% | — | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 30% | 30% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 4 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 5 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Hokit to win by KO/TKO? | 23% | 23% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 1 | 19.5% | 19.5% | — | not on both |
| Ciryl Gane to win in Round 1 | 17% | — | 17% | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 17% | 17% | — | not on both |
| Ciryl Gane to win in Round 2 | 12% | — | 12% | not on both |
| Gane in Round 2 | 12% | 12% | — | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 1 | 11% | 11% | — | not on both |
| Gane in Round 3 | 10% | 10% | — | not on both |
| Josh Hokit to win in Round 1 | 10% | — | 10% | not on both |
| Josh Hokit to win in Round 2 | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 2 | 7.5% | 7.5% | — | not on both |
| Josh Hokit to win in Round 3 | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| Ciryl Gane to win in Round 3 | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| Hokit in Round 3 | 4.1% | 4.1% | — | not on both |
| Ciryl Gane to win in Round 5 | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Josh Hokit to win in Round 4 | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Josh Hokit to win in Round 5 | 4% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Ciryl Gane to win in Round 4 | 3.5% | — | 3.5% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ciryl-gane-vs-josh-hokit-round-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-jos52-cir-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcvicround?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ciryl-gane-vs-josh-hokit-round-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.