# Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Closer Senate Race: Maine or Texas?". Maine US Senate leads at 91.3%. Next is Texas US Senate at 8.7%. $1K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 7, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T12:20:41Z (35 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 7, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Maine US Senate | 91.3% | 95% |
| Texas US Senate | 8.7% | 9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Maine Secretary of State](https://www.maine.gov/sos/elections-voting), [Texas Secretary of State](https://www.sos.state.tx.us/elections/index.shtml).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/closer-senate-race-maine-or-texas-1
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosermetxsen?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/closer-senate-race-maine-or-texas-1

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.