# Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona". Barcelona leads at 52.8%. Next is Atletico at 26.4%. $206K has traded across 3 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 8, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:28:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 8, 2026
- Volume traded: $206K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Barcelona | 52.8% | 52.5% | 54% | 1.5 pts |
| Atletico | 26.4% | 26% | 27% | 1.0 pts |
| Draw | 20.8% | 21.5% | 21% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [laliga.com](https://www.laliga.com/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Settlement rules

This event is for the upcoming La Liga game, scheduled for Sunday, November 8, 2026 between Club Atlético de Madrid and FC Barcelona.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/club-atlético-de-madrid-vs-fc-barcelona-2
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lal-mad-bar-2026-11-08?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxlaligagame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/club-atlético-de-madrid-vs-fc-barcelona-2

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.