# College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Nov 30 AP Poll: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Nov 30 AP Poll". Florida leads at 35.1%. Next is Duke at 18.3%. $1K has traded across 12 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 14, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T07:09:40Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 14, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Florida | 35.1% | 46% |
| Duke | 18.3% | 24% |
| Illinois | 8.4% | 11% |
| Michigan | 6.9% | 9% |
| Kansas | 5.3% | 7% |
| Michigan St. | 4.6% | 6% |
| Arizona | 3.8% | 5% |
| Arkansas | 3.8% | 5% |
| Houston | 3.8% | 5% |
| UConn | 3.8% | 5% |
| Iowa St. | 3.1% | 4% |
| Louisville | 3.1% | 4% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [AP College Basketball Rankings](https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-basketball-poll).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/college-basketball-m-1-ranked-team-on-nov-30-ap-poll
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambaprank?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/college-basketball-m-1-ranked-team-on-nov-30-ap-poll

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.