# College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Nov 9 AP Poll: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "College Basketball (M): #1 Ranked Team on Nov 9 AP Poll". Duke leads at 22%. Next is Illinois at 8%. $2K has traded across 11 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:26:00Z (2 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Duke | 22% | 22% |
| Illinois | 8% | 8% |
| Arizona | 5% | 5% |
| Arkansas | 5% | 5% |
| Houston | 4% | 4% |
| Iowa St. | 4% | 4% |
| Kansas | 4% | 4% |
| Louisville | 4% | 4% |
| Michigan St. | 4% | 4% |
| UConn | 4% | 4% |
| Michigan | 1% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [AP College Basketball Rankings](https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-basketball-poll).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/college-basketball-m-1-ranked-team-on-nov-9-ap-poll
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambaprank?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/college-basketball-m-1-ranked-team-on-nov-9-ap-poll

---
Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.