# College Basketball (M): Top 25 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "College Basketball (M): Top 25 Ranked Teams on Final AP Poll". Alabama leads at 90%. Next is Arkansas at 86%. $1K has traded across 43 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by May 2, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:41:00Z (23 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: May 2, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Alabama | 90% | 90% |
| Arkansas | 86% | 86% |
| Baylor | 86% | 86% |
| BYU | 86% | 86% |
| Clemson | 86% | 86% |
| Auburn | 85% | 85% |
| Arizona | 64% | 64% |
| Duke | 50% | 50% |
| Florida St. | 50% | 50% |
| Gonzaga | 50% | 50% |
| Houston | 50% | 50% |
| Illinois | 50% | 50% |
| Indiana | 50% | 50% |
| Iowa | 50% | 50% |
| Iowa St. | 50% | 50% |
| Kansas | 50% | 50% |
| Kentucky | 50% | 50% |
| Louisville | 50% | 50% |
| Marquette | 50% | 50% |
| Miami (FL) | 50% | 50% |
| Michigan | 50% | 50% |
| Michigan St. | 50% | 50% |
| Missouri | 50% | 50% |
| North Carolina | 50% | 50% |
| North Carolina St. | 50% | 50% |
| Ohio St. | 50% | 50% |
| Oregon | 50% | 50% |
| Providence | 50% | 50% |
| Purdue | 50% | 50% |
| San Diego St. | 50% | 50% |
| SMU | 50% | 50% |
| St. John's | 50% | 50% |
| Syracuse | 50% | 50% |
| Tennessee | 50% | 50% |
| Texas | 50% | 50% |
| Texas A&M | 50% | 50% |
| Texas Tech | 50% | 50% |
| UConn | 50% | 50% |
| USC | 50% | 50% |
| Vanderbilt | 50% | 50% |

Showing the top 40 of 43 outcomes. 
"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [AP College Basketball Rankings](https://apnews.com/hub/ap-top-25-college-basketball-poll).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/college-basketball-m-top-25-ranked-teams-on-final-ap-poll
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaambtopaprank?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/college-basketball-m-top-25-ranked-teams-on-final-ap-poll

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
