# Colombia rate decision in December: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Colombia rate decision in December". Maintain current rate leads at 60.6%. Next is Hike 1-25bps at 26.5%. $49K has traded across 5 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 18, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:21:00Z (1 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 18, 2026
- Volume traded: $49K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Maintain current rate | 60.6% | 64.5% | 61% | 3.5 pts |
| Hike 1-25bps | 26.5% | 26.7% | 30% | 3.3 pts |
| Cut more than 25bps | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6% | 1.6 pts |
| Cut 1-25bps | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5% | 2.4 pts |
| Hike more than 25bps | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2% | 3.1 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [banrep.gov.co](https://www.banrep.gov.co/es/calendario-eventos).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Banco de la República](https://www.banrep.gov.co/en/tema/monetary-policy), [Trading Economics](https://tradingeconomics.com/colombia/interest-rate).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/colombia-rate-decision-in-december
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/central-bank-of-colombia-decision-in-december-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcbdcolombia?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/colombia-rate-decision-in-december

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.