# Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Congressional Progressive Caucus size after the midterms?". Above 95 leads at 94%. Next is Above 97 at 85%. $1K has traded across 5 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T00:09:00Z (3 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above 95 | 94% | 94% |
| Above 97 | 85% | 85% |
| Above 100 | 80% | 80% |
| Above 105 | 45% | 45% |
| Above 110 | 21% | 21% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Congressional Progressive Caucus](https://progressives.house.gov/caucus-members).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/congressional-progressive-caucus-size-after-the-midterms
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcpcsize?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/congressional-progressive-caucus-size-after-the-midterms

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.