# Connecticut presidential election winner?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Connecticut presidential election winner?". Democratic Party leads at 94.5%. Next is Republican Party at 5.5%. $5K has traded across 2 outcomes on Kalshi and Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 7, 2029.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T20:07:31Z (14 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 7, 2029
- Volume traded: $5K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Democratic Party | 94.5% | 92% | 95% | 3.0 pts |
| Republican Party | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 0.5 pts |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Connecticut Secretary of the State](https://portal.ct.gov/sots/election-services), [United States Congress](https://www.congress.gov/), [Associated Press](https://apnews.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/connecticut-presidential-election-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2028-presidential-election-connecticut-winner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxpresstate?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/connecticut-presidential-election-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.