# Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic". Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 leads at 71.5%. Next is Diaz Acosta at 69.7%. $15K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 12, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T12:49:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 12, 2026
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| Diaz Acosta | 69.7% | 69.5% | 70% | 0.5 pts |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 66% | 66% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Filip Misolic | 30% | — | 30% | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Settlement rules

This market refers to the tennis match between Facundo Acosta and Filip Misolic in the Costa do Sauipe, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 10:00AM ET.

This market will resolve to 'Facundo Acosta' if Facundo Acosta advances against Filip Misolic.

This market will resolve to 'Filip Misolic' if Filip Misolic advances against Facundo Acosta.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50.

If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.

If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/costa-do-sauipe-facundo-acosta-vs-filip-misolic
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-acosta-misolic-2026-11-05?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/costa-do-sauipe-facundo-acosta-vs-filip-misolic

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.