# CPI-U index in November: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "CPI-U index in November". Above 335.600 leads at 95%. Next is Above 335.700 at 94.5%. $14K has traded across 32 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 10, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-15T05:19:52Z (15 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 10, 2026
- Volume traded: $14K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Above 335.600 | 95% | — | 95% | not on both |
| Above 335.700 | 94.5% | — | 94.5% | not on both |
| Above 335.800 | 93% | — | 93% | not on both |
| Above 335.900 | 88% | — | 88% | not on both |
| Above 336.000 | 83% | — | 83% | not on both |
| Above 336.100 | 78% | — | 78% | not on both |
| Above 336.200 | 71% | — | 71% | not on both |
| Above 336.300 | 66% | — | 66% | not on both |
| Above 336.400 | 51% | — | 51% | not on both |
| 0.2% | 42% | 42% | — | not on both |
| Above 336.500 | 41% | — | 41% | not on both |
| 0.3% | 38% | 38% | — | not on both |
| 2.9% | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| 3.0% | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Above 336.600 | 30% | — | 30% | not on both |
| Above 336.700 | 22% | — | 22% | not on both |
| 2.8% | 19.5% | 19.5% | — | not on both |
| Above 336.800 | 15% | — | 15% | not on both |
| 0.1% | 11.5% | 11.5% | — | not on both |
| 0.4% | 7% | 7% | — | not on both |
| Above 336.900 | 7% | — | 7% | not on both |
| 2.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| 2.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| 3.1% | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |
| Above 337.000 | 6% | — | 6% | not on both |
| 0.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | — | not on both |
| 0.6% | 2% | 2% | — | not on both |
| 0.7%+ | 1.2% | 1.2% | — | not on both |
| 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | — | not on both |
| 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |
| 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [bls.gov](https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [BLS - CPI-U](https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/cpi-u-index-in-november
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/core-cpi-mom-november-2026?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxcpindex?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/cpi-u-index-in-november

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.
