# Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Dan J. Sullivan charged by January 31?". Yes leads at 3.8%. $4K has traded across 1 outcome on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Feb 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:54:00Z (10 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Feb 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Yes | 3.8% | 3.8% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of Alaska Senate candidate Daniel J. Sullivan between market creation and January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/dan-j-sullivan-charged-by-january-31
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/dan-jpt-sullivan-charged-by-january-31?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/dan-j-sullivan-charged-by-january-31

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.