# Dancing with the Stars · Episode 10 Elimination: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Dancing with the Stars · Episode 10 Elimination". Ezra Frech leads at 39.4%. Next is Tatyana Ali at 19.3%. $147K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 11, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:07:00Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 11, 2026
- Volume traded: $147K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Ezra Frech | 39.4% | 61.5% | 2% | 59.5 pts |
| Tatyana Ali | 19.3% | 0.2% | 31% | 30.9 pts |
| Maura Higgins | 10.3% | 0.3% | 49% | 48.8 pts |
| Amber Glenn | 8.1% | 11.5% | 4% | 7.5 pts |
| Harry Shum Jr. | 7.9% | 17.7% | 1% | 16.6 pts |
| Connor Wood | 7.6% | 8.1% | 12% | 3.9 pts |
| Jenna Dewan | 3.8% | 4% | 6% | 2.0 pts |
| None | 3.3% | — | 4% | not on both |
| Ciara Miller | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Conner Leavitt | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Giada De Laurentiis | 0.1% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Guillermo Rodriguez | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Jackson Olson | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Julia Stiles | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Sarah Jane Nader | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Taylor Hanson | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |
| Tyler Cameron | 0% | 0.1% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ABC](https://abc.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/dancing-with-the-stars-episode-10-elimination
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-dancing-with-the-stars-season-35?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdwtselimination?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/dancing-with-the-stars-episode-10-elimination

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.