# December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "December 2026 Fed Combo · Rate and Dissents". Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 leads at 61%. Next is Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 at 20%. $42K has traded across 6 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 9, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T22:05:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 9, 2026
- Volume traded: $42K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 | 61% | 64% |
| Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 | 20% | 21% |
| Rate: 25bp hike, Dissents: 0 | 15.2% | 16% |
| Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 | 1.9% | 2% |
| Rate: 25bp cut, Dissents: 0 | 1% | 1% |
| Rate: No change, Dissents: >0 | 0.9% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Federal Reserve Board of Governors](https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/december-2026-fed-combo-rate-and-dissents
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedcombo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/december-2026-fed-combo-rate-and-dissents

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.