# Diaz Acosta vs Misolic: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Diaz Acosta vs Misolic". Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 leads at 71.5%. Next is Diaz Acosta at 69.7%. $15K has traded across 17 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 19, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T12:49:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 19, 2026
- Volume traded: $15K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 71.5% | 71.5% | — | not on both |
| Diaz Acosta | 69.7% | 69.5% | 70% | 0.5 pts |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 66% | 66% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 55.5% | 55.5% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 50% | 50% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 49% | 49% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 47.5% | 47.5% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Filip Misolic | 30% | — | 30% | not on both |
| Costa do Sauipe: Facundo Acosta vs Filip Misolic Match O/U 21.5 | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [atptour.com](https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ATP](https://www.atptour.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/diaz-acosta-vs-misolic
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/atp-acosta-misolic-2026-11-05?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxatpchallengermatch?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/diaz-acosta-vs-misolic

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.