# Diesel prices in Nov 2026: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Diesel prices in Nov 2026". Above $5.30 leads at 97.5%. Next is Above $5.40 at 97%. $82K has traded across 21 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 30, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:13:11Z (58 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 30, 2026
- Volume traded: $82K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above $5.30 | 97.5% | 97.5% |
| Above $5.40 | 97% | 97% |
| Above $5.50 | 95% | 95% |
| Above $5.60 | 95% | 95% |
| Above $5.70 | 86% | 86% |
| Above $5.80 | 74% | 74% |
| Above $5.90 | 63% | 63% |
| Above $6.00 | 44% | 44% |
| Above $6.10 | 34% | 34% |
| Above $6.20 | 24% | 24% |
| Above $6.30 | 15% | 15% |
| Above $6.40 | 9% | 9% |
| Above $6.50 | 6% | 6% |
| Above $6.60 | 5% | 5% |
| Above $6.70 | 3% | 3% |
| Above $6.80 | 3% | 3% |
| Above $6.90 | 2% | 2% |
| Above $7.00 | 2% | 2% |
| Above $7.10 | 2% | 2% |
| Above $7.20 | 2% | 2% |
| Above $7.30 | 2% | 2% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [AAA](https://gasprices.aaa.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/diesel-prices-in-nov-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdieselmon?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/diesel-prices-in-nov-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.