# Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan: Method of Victory: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Drew Dober vs Chris Duncan: Method of Victory". O/U 0.5 Rounds leads at 68%. Next is Ends before Round 3? at 58%. $26K has traded across 26 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 29, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-13T22:11:31Z (just now)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 29, 2026
- Volume traded: $26K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| O/U 0.5 Rounds | 68% | 68% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 3? | 58% | 58% | — | not on both |
| O/U 1.5 Rounds | 54.5% | 54.5% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by KO/TKO? | 52% | 52% | — | not on both |
| O/U 2.5 Rounds | 39% | 39% | — | not on both |
| Drew Dober vs. Chris Duncan | 37.5% | 37.5% | — | not on both |
| Dober to win by KO/TKO? | 36% | 36% | — | not on both |
| Decision or Draw | 34.5% | 34.5% | — | not on both |
| Ends before Round 2? | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by decision? | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Fight won by submission? | 34% | 34% | — | not on both |
| Duncan to win by KO/TKO? | 32.5% | 32.5% | — | not on both |
| Duncan in Round 1 | 32% | 32% | — | not on both |
| Dober in Round 1 | 30% | 30% | — | not on both |
| Drew Dober by KO/TKO/DQ | 30% | — | 30% | not on both |
| Duncan in Round 2 | 29% | 29% | — | not on both |
| Dober in Round 2 | 28% | 28% | — | not on both |
| Duncan in Round 3 | 28% | 28% | — | not on both |
| Dober in Round 3 | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | not on both |
| Chris Duncan by KO/TKO/DQ | 23% | — | 23% | not on both |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | 22.5% | 22.5% | — | not on both |
| Chris Duncan by Submission | 21% | — | 21% | not on both |
| Chris Duncan by Decision | 16% | — | 16% | not on both |
| Drew Dober by Decision | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| Draw/No Contest | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |
| Drew Dober by Submission | 2% | — | 2% | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [ufc.com](https://www.ufc.com/events).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com), [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/home/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/drew-dober-vs-chris-duncan-method-of-victory
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/ufc-dre-chr13-2026-11-14?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxufcmov?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/drew-dober-vs-chris-duncan-method-of-victory

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.