# Duke vs Miami (FL): Spread: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Duke vs Miami (FL): Spread". Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points leads at 81.5%. Next is Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points at 80.5%. $1K has traded across 32 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 16, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T15:43:20Z (11 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 16, 2026
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 1.5 points | 81.5% | 81.5% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 2.5 points | 80.5% | 80.5% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 3.5 points | 75% | 75% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 4.5 points | 73% | 73% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 6.5 points | 72% | 72% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 5.5 points | 71% | 71% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 7.5 points | 66% | 66% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 9.5 points | 61% | 61% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 10.5 points | 55.5% | 55.5% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 11.5 points | 54.5% | 54.5% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 13.5 points | 49% | 49% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 14.5 points | 43% | 43% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 15.5 points | 43% | 43% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 17.5 points | 41% | 41% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 16.5 points | 40% | 40% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 20.5 points | 30.5% | 30.5% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 21.5 points | 27% | 27% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 23.5 points | 26% | 26% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 24.5 points | 22% | 22% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 27.5 points | 17% | 17% |
| Duke wins by over 1.5 points | 15.5% | 15.5% |
| Duke wins by over 2.5 points | 14.5% | 14.5% |
| Duke wins by over 3.5 points | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 30.5 points | 11.5% | 11.5% |
| Duke wins by over 4.5 points | 10% | 10% |
| Duke wins by over 5.5 points | 8.5% | 8.5% |
| Duke wins by over 6.5 points | 7% | 7% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 33.5 points | 7% | 7% |
| Miami (FL) wins by over 35.5 points | 5.5% | 5.5% |
| Duke wins by over 7.5 points | 5% | 5% |
| Duke wins by over 9.5 points | 4.5% | 4.5% |
| Duke wins by over 10.5 points | 3.5% | 3.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com), [Kalshi using information originating from the NCAA](https://www.ncaa.com/sports/football/fbs).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/duke-vs-miami-fl-spread
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxncaafspread?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/duke-vs-miami-fl-spread

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.