# Duolingo language rankings · #1 in 2026?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Duolingo language rankings · #1 in 2026?". English leads at 90.4%. Next is Spanish at 1.9%. $50K has traded across 10 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 31, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T20:06:00Z (1 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 31, 2027
- Volume traded: $50K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: culture

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| English | 90.4% | 94% |
| Spanish | 1.9% | 2% |
| Chinese | 1% | 1% |
| French | 1% | 1% |
| German | 1% | 1% |
| Hindi | 1% | 1% |
| Italian | 1% | 1% |
| Japanese | 0.9% | 1% |
| Korean | 0.9% | 1% |
| Portuguese | 0.9% | 1% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume, with each venue's margin removed so outcomes add to 100%. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Duolingo](https://www.duolingo.com/courses).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/duolingo-language-rankings-1-in-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxduolingo?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/duolingo-language-rankings-1-in-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.