# eBay gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "eBay gross merchandise volume in Q1 2027". Above $23.5 billion leads at 87%. Next is Above $23.6 billion at 82%. $1K has traded across 9 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Aug 26, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T21:17:00Z (2 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Aug 26, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: economics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above $23.5 billion | 87% | 87% |
| Above $23.6 billion | 82% | 82% |
| Above $23.7 billion | 76% | 76% |
| Above $23.8 billion | 70% | 70% |
| Above $23.9 billion | 63% | 63% |
| Above $24 billion | 56% | 56% |
| Above $24.1 billion | 49% | 49% |
| Above $24.2 billion | 42% | 42% |
| Above $24.3 billion | 35% | 35% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Fiscal.ai](https://fiscal.ai).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ebay-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q1-2027
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxebay?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ebay-gross-merchandise-volume-in-q1-2027

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.