# Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova: Set 1 Winner: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova: Set 1 Winner". Karolina Muchova leads at 56%. Next is WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova at 54%. $35K has traded across 13 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 25, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-11T18:48:05Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 25, 2026
- Volume traded: $35K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Karolina Muchova | 56% | — | 56% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 54% | 54% | — | not on both |
| Completed Match | 53% | 53% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 47% | 47% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 46.5% | 46.5% | — | not on both |
| Elina Svitolina | 45% | — | 45% | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 45% | 45% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 44% | 44% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 43.5% | 43.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 42.5% | 42.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 35.5% | 35.5% | — | not on both |
| WTA Finals, Group B: Elina Svitolina vs Karolina Muchova | 24% | 24% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [wtatennis.com](https://www.wtatennis.com/scores).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [WTA](https://www.wtatennis.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/elina-svitolina-vs-karolina-muchova-set-1-winner
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/wta-svitoli-muchova-2026-11-10?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxwtasetwinner?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/elina-svitolina-vs-karolina-muchova-set-1-winner

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.