# Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "Elon Musk meets with Putin by...?". March 31 leads at 13%. Next is December 31 at 4.5%. $4K has traded across 2 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by Jan 1, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-05T01:25:00Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Jan 1, 2027
- Volume traded: $4K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: politics

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| March 31 | 13% | 13% |
| December 31 | 4.5% | 4.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk meets with Vladimir Putin between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A meeting is defined as any encounter where both Musk and Putin are present and interact with each other in person.

An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/elon-musk-meets-with-putin-by
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-meets-with-putin-by?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/elon-musk-meets-with-putin-by

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.