# England vs Croatia: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "England vs Croatia". England leads at 78%. Next is England 0 - 0 Croatia at 26%. $38K has traded across 40 outcomes on Polymarket and Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Nov 14, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-06T01:09:03Z (48 min ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Nov 14, 2026
- Volume traded: $38K
- Venues: Polymarket, Kalshi
- Category: sports

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Kalshi | Gap between venues |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| England | 78% | — | 78% | not on both |
| England 0 - 0 Croatia | 26% | 26% | — | not on both |
| England 0 - 4 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 0 - 5 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 1 - 4 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 1 - 5 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 2 - 4 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 2 - 5 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 3 - 5 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 4 - 0 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 4 - 1 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 4 - 2 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 5 - 0 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 5 - 1 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 5 - 2 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 5 - 3 Croatia | 25% | 25% | — | not on both |
| England 0 - 2 Croatia | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| England 0 - 3 Croatia | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| England 1 - 2 Croatia | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| England 1 - 3 Croatia | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| England 2 - 2 Croatia | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| England 3 - 2 Croatia | 24.5% | 24.5% | — | not on both |
| England 0 - 1 Croatia | 23.5% | 23.5% | — | not on both |
| England 5 - 5 Croatia | 21.5% | 21.5% | — | not on both |
| England 2 - 3 Croatia | 21% | 21% | — | not on both |
| England 3 - 3 Croatia | 20.5% | 20.5% | — | not on both |
| Any Other Score | 20% | 20% | — | not on both |
| England 5 - 4 Croatia | 17% | 17% | — | not on both |
| England 4 - 3 Croatia | 16.5% | 16.5% | — | not on both |
| Tie | 15% | — | 15% | not on both |
| England 4 - 5 Croatia | 13.5% | 13.5% | — | not on both |
| England 3 - 4 Croatia | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| England 4 - 4 Croatia | 13% | 13% | — | not on both |
| England 2 - 0 Croatia | 11% | 11% | — | not on both |
| England 1 - 0 Croatia | 9.5% | 9.5% | — | not on both |
| England 3 - 0 Croatia | 9.5% | 9.5% | — | not on both |
| Croatia | 9% | — | 9% | not on both |
| England 2 - 1 Croatia | 8.5% | 8.5% | — | not on both |
| England 3 - 1 Croatia | 6.5% | 6.5% | — | not on both |
| England 1 - 1 Croatia | 6% | 6% | — | not on both |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle. Sources: [uefa.com](https://www.uefa.com/uefanationsleague/).
- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [ESPN](https://www.espn.com/), [Fox Sports](https://www.foxsports.com/).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/england-vs-croatia-1
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/unl-eng-hrv-2026-11-12-exact-score?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxuefanlgame?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/england-vs-croatia-1

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.