# EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?: prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "EPL 2026-27: Which Manager Gets Sacked First?". Pierre Sage leads at 94%. Next is Frank Lampard at 49.9%. $1K has traded across 20 outcomes on Polymarket. The market is expected to resolve by May 31, 2027.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-09T20:43:20Z (1 d ago)
- Expected to resolve by: May 31, 2027
- Volume traded: $1K
- Venues: Polymarket
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Pierre Sage | 94% | 94% |
| Frank Lampard | 49.9% | 49.9% |
| Matthias Jaissle | 49.9% | 49.9% |
| Roberto De Zerbi | 49.9% | 49.9% |
| Alvaro Arbeloa | 47.5% | 47.5% |
| Unai Emery | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| Regis Le Bris | 39.5% | 39.5% |
| Michael Carrick | 36.5% | 36.5% |
| Gary O'Neil | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| David Moyes | 35.3% | 35.3% |
| Marco Rose | 34.9% | 34.9% |
| Mikel Arteta | 33.3% | 33.3% |
| Keith Andrews | 29.9% | 29.9% |
| Andoni Iraola | 29.1% | 29.1% |
| Daniel Farke | 19.6% | 19.6% |
| Fabian Hurzeler | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Sergej Jakirovic | 3.3% | 3.3% |
| Oliver Glasner | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Enzo Maresca | 2.4% | 2.4% |
| Xabi Alonso | 1.9% | 1.9% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Polymarket: UMA optimistic oracle.

## Settlement rules

This market will resolve according to which English Premier League manager is fired first during the 2026-27 season.

If the listed manager is the first manager to be officially fired, dismissed, or sacked by their respective Premier League club during the 2026-27 season, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If multiple managers are fired on the same calendar day, resolution will be based on the earliest official announcement time.

If a manager resigns, mutually agrees to part ways, or departs for another job, this will not count as being fired, and that will not qualify as "Yes" for this market.

If no Premier League managers are fired by May 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official club announcements or official Premier League communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/epl-2026-27-which-manager-gets-sacked-first
- Trade on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/epl-2026-27-which-manager-gets-sacked-first?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/epl-2026-27-which-manager-gets-sacked-first

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.