# ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (November 2026): prediction market odds

> Live prediction market odds for "ERCOT North Hub average real-time power price (November 2026)". Above $20/MWh leads at 87%. Next is Above $25/MWh at 63%. $2K has traded across 7 outcomes on Kalshi. The market is expected to resolve by Dec 1, 2026.

- Status: Live
- Prices updated: 2026-11-04T15:04:00Z (10 h ago)
- Expected to resolve by: Dec 1, 2026
- Volume traded: $2K
- Venues: Kalshi
- Category: other

## Odds by outcome

| Outcome | Chance | Kalshi |
| --- | --- | --- |
| Above $20/MWh | 87% | 87% |
| Above $25/MWh | 63% | 63% |
| Above $30/MWh | 27% | 27% |
| Above $35/MWh | 17% | 17% |
| Above $45/MWh | 6% | 6% |
| Above $60/MWh | 4% | 4% |
| Above $100/MWh | 2.5% | 2.5% |

"Chance" blends the venues' prices, weighted by volume. Venue columns are each venue's own price.

## How each venue settles

- Kalshi: Kalshi (CFTC-regulated exchange). Sources: [Electric Reliability Council of Texas, Inc. (ERCOT)](https://ercot.com).

## Links

- Full page with charts and order books: https://thepredictionmarkets.com/odds/ercot-north-hub-average-real-time-power-price-november-2026
- Trade on Kalshi: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxercotnorthm?utm_source=thepredictionmarkets.com&utm_medium=referral
- API (free key): https://api.thepredictionmarkets.com/api/public/v1/events/ercot-north-hub-average-real-time-power-price-november-2026

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Source: The Prediction Markets (https://thepredictionmarkets.com), which compares Kalshi and Polymarket prices side by side. Prices are market-implied probabilities, not forecasts by TPM. Cite the page URL and the "Prices updated" time.